Why Kalonzo Musyoka Could Decide Kenya’s 2027 Presidency
In Kenya’s shifting political landscape, veteran leader Kalonzo Musyoka of the Wiper Democratic Movement – Kenya (WDM-K) is emerging as a pivotal figure whose allegiance may determine who sits in State House after the 2027 general election. Once dubbed indecisive and even mockingly referred to as a watermelon , Musyoka now commands renewed respect and is courted by both government and opposition players alike.
Musyoka’s path to this influential position is built on decades of political experience and a sturdy base in the Ukambani region. He has served in high-profile roles including Vice President and Foreign Minister, which analysts say have given him the gravitas to act as a king-maker in 2027.
His current strategy involves staying independent—not committing to become a running mate, which he has ruled out as too little for his years of service.
Musyoka’s calm demeanour and diplomatic reputation are seen by some observers as strengths in a campaign environment marked by division and personality politics.
Reactions to Musyoka’s rise reflect both hope and caution. Supporters within his own community view him as the credible voice of stability and experience, capable of shifting alliances and delivering meaningful votes. Analysts suggest he controls up to 2.5 million votes, and that either side in the political contest is keen to win his favour.
However, there are clear risks: political commentators warn that accepting a deputy slot or aligning too heavily with one side could end his career rather than advance it.
Looking ahead, the 2027 election appears to hinge on whether Musyoka can position himself as the main alternative or align strategically without becoming politically boxed-in. Both the government and opposition may court him hard in the coming months, and his decision may signal the direction of key regional blocs. In Kenya’s dynamic electoral politics, a move by Musyoka could well determine the next occupant of State House.