Tribe, party and the changing political dynamics in Kwale

Kwale Politics Shift from Tribal Allegiance to Development-Oriented Leadership
As the 2022 general elections approach, Kwale County is witnessing a notable shift in political behavior, with voters increasingly prioritizing leadership qualities and development records over tribal or party loyalties. Analysts note that while the Digo, Duruma, and Kamba communities remain influential in shaping electoral outcomes, candidates can no longer rely solely on ethnic support. Aspiring leaders are now compelled to appeal to a broader electorate, including smaller communities, by presenting tangible development plans and inclusive agendas.
This evolution in Kwale’s political landscape is evident from recent electoral history. Governor Salim Mvurya, initially elected under the ODM banner in 2013 and later re-elected on a Jubilee ticket in 2017, has demonstrated that voters are willing to cross party lines for competent leadership. Independent candidates have also made significant inroads, as seen during the 2020 Msambweni by-election when Feisal Bader triumphed over ODM’s preferred candidate. Analysts argue that these outcomes reflect a growing voter sophistication, with the electorate focused on leaders who can deliver solutions to local challenges such as unemployment, land disputes, and infrastructure development.
Despite these shifts, political aspirants are still mindful of ethnic considerations when selecting running mates. For example, Deputy Governor Fatuma Achani chose a Duruma running mate, while Agriculture PS Prof. Hamadi Boga paired with a Duruma counterpart, signaling that tribal representation remains a factor in coalition-building. However, county assembly leaders and political analysts emphasize that voters now demand accountability, vision, and inclusivity from candidates, transcending traditional cultural, religious, and gender biases.
Looking forward, the political landscape in Kwale is expected to become more competitive and issue-driven. Candidates vying to succeed Governor Mvurya, including former MPs and county officials, will need to demonstrate clear policy agendas and development plans. With voters increasingly prioritizing capability over ethnicity or party loyalty, the next election is likely to test the adaptability of politicians and the resilience of traditional political structures in Kenya’s coastal counties.