United Opposition Faces Deepening Divisions Ahead of 2027 Elections
Kenya’s political landscape is witnessing renewed tension as cracks within the united opposition become increasingly visible, despite public displays of solidarity. Local newspapers on Saturday, November 8, highlighted the growing mistrust among opposition leaders who aim to challenge President William Ruto in the 2027 general election. While prominent figures such as Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka and Democratic Congress Party’s Rigathi Gachagua have reiterated their commitment to cooperation, behind the scenes disagreements are emerging. Analysts report that the coalition is split mainly between two camps: one led by Kalonzo, Gachagua, and former National Assembly Speaker Justin Muturi, and another aligned with Martha Karua, former Interior CS Fred Matiang’i, and Mukhisa Kituyi.
These internal rifts come amid broader societal concerns about political polarisation, particularly online. Research by OdipoDev and Tribeless Youth shows that Kenya’s social media environment has become increasingly tribal, with toxic ethnic discussions rising from 39% to 49% between 2024 and 2025. Experts warn that politicians are exploiting this digital space to manipulate narratives, paying influencers and operating troll networks to influence public opinion. Analysts note that such divisions—both online and within the opposition—could undermine efforts to present a coherent alternative to the incumbent government, echoing challenges faced by previous coalitions such as NASA and Azimio.
Reactions from opposition leaders vary, with some emphasizing grassroots mobilisation over boardroom deals. Rigathi Gachagua has advocated for field-driven campaigns supporting Kalonzo, while Matiang’i insists that unity is crucial to secure the presidency. Political commentators suggest that the coalition’s success will depend on its ability to reconcile competing ambitions and present a unified candidate. With 2027 approaching, the opposition’s struggle to balance personalities, party loyalties, and regional interests will be a decisive factor in Kenya’s electoral dynamics, as voters watch whether these alliances can translate into an effective challenge against Ruto’s re-election bid.